Tuesday 26 September 2023

Why the #MahsaAmini Uprising Did Not Flourish as it Was Intended

 Why the #MahsaAmini Uprising Did Not Flourish as it Was Intended – House of Intellectual (wordpress.com)

I am writing this blueprint to save the lives of Iranians fighting for freedom in Iran.

It is clear to me that the strategy adopted by Iranian dissidents to overthrow the Islamic Republic of Iran is nothing short of futile. Their approach is reminiscent of the coyote’s constant and unsuccessful attempts at catching the road runner in Looney Tunes cartoons. The dissidents’ repeated attempts to bring down the regime using the same old tactics are simply not working, and it’s time for a change in strategy.

Let’s define the objective of Iranian dissidents inside of Iran.

Iranians are residing in Iran who are urging for a revolution. But what is the true meaning of a revolution?

It can be said that a revolution is underway in Iran, led by a significant portion of the population who no longer wish to live under the Islamic Republic. They aspire to overthrow the current regime and establish a state that aligns with their vision, whether it be a constitutional monarchy or a republic.

As a result, Iranians declared war against the Islamic Republic of Iran, leading to a revolution.

Rule Number One: Keep It Secret

The Nozheh Coup, NEGHAB, or Mask, failed because everyone knew about the coup. All secret services worldwide knew the plotters and promised them weapons and cash. When the time came to deliver weapons and money, they did not do it and reported them to the regime in Iran. The security forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran arrested them, and plotters faced summary execution.

Iranian dissidents plan uprisings by publicly announcing the gathering’s exact date, time, and location. The security forces are now able to mobilize and deploy themselves to suppress Iranian dissidents effortlessly.

When Iranians arrange a meeting beforehand and provide information about where, time and how they will show down with the regime, security forces can prepare and control the gathering. Iranians are losing their power to shape the movement.

As a result, Iranian dissidents inside of Iran must keep their plan secret that they want to do a showdown with the Islamic Republic of Iran to have the power of the element of surprise so that they can bring the regime down.

Someone may ask why not keep your blueprint a secret, but I am not a significant player, and those who are may receive this paper and implement the plan to liberate Iran.

Rule Number Two: Control the Thoughts

During World War II, the Axis and Allied Powers utilized propaganda to demoralize each other. Propaganda is a form of communication used to sway opinions and may selectively present facts.

Iran’s government employs a propaganda system to make a particular situation seem acceptable or normal. Towards the end of Khomeini’s life, as his health began to deteriorate, the regime spread rumours of his death for two main reasons. Firstly, the intention was to normalize the situation in order to avoid a power vacuum struggle when Khomeini eventually passed away. Secondly, the Iranians were less likely to mobilize themselves to overthrow the regime in Iran because they were unable to believe that Khomeini was actually dead. Iranians were used to Khomeini’s death.

From time to time, we hear rumours that Ali Khamenei is dead or he is dying. However, he is well and alive. The system is spreading rumours that he will die, and Iranians will not take action against the system in Iran.

Proposing that Iranian dissidents may consider utilizing propaganda tactics to engage in a psychological warfare campaign with the regime in Iran. Iranians can effectively challenge the status quo by strategically spreading rumours – such as the notion that King @PahlaviReza is in Iran and building an army to overthrow the regime. Such measures may be viewed as a non-violent and strategic means of resistance in the ongoing fight against the regime.

Ruler Number Three: Mislead Your Enemy

Contact sports always employ deceptive techniques to gain an advantage. For instance, Karate Kata Kusanku is a perfect example of this. This kata is specifically designed to be used at night, and the practitioner strikes the ground with their leg to distract the attacker and then delivers a powerful blow. This technique is meant to deceive the opponent and prevent them from anticipating the next move.

Iranian dissidents must allow their phones to be hacked by the Islamic Republic of Iran, as Iranian dissidents will enable the regime to use the information obtained to spread misinformation among the elements of the regime. This is especially important during freedom operations, as false information can mislead the state actors and cause them to fail their tasks.

Rule Number Four: Control the Ground & Above

When an army enters a battlefield, they seize control of the above and the ground. The aforementioned actors provide ground forces with intelligence on avoiding danger and identifying the enemy’s strengths and weaknesses.

The United States Army consists of six branches, one of which is the Space Force. The primary mission of the Space Force is to conduct space operations such as satellite-based navigation and communication, missile warning, and weather information gathering.

It is crucial for Iranian dissidents to gain control of rooftops in order to prevent security forces from using deadly weapons against unarmed civilians. By protecting people on the ground and gathering intelligence about the strengths and weaknesses of the movement, they can move closer to victory.

Rule Number Five: Protection of Night

The Greek soldiers launched a surprise attack on Troy during the night while the Trojans were asleep.

Capitan Hooshang Samadi Kalkhurani wrote in his war memoir that he utilized the cover of darkness to launch surprise attacks on the Iraqi forces, who were left in a vulnerable state due to their fatigue.

Iranian dissidents adopt the strategy of moving around at night when it is dark and security forces are less active. This approach gives them an upper hand in taking control of essential locations and cutting off state actors from their security forces.

Last, studying project management and SWOT systems presents alternative ways to overthrow the regime in addition to the strategy and tactics mentioned previously.

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Book Review of "The Memoirs of Nasrollah Tavakoli, The First Chief of Staff of the Iranian Army after the Islamic Revolution," published by Ibex Publishers Inc., in 2014 by Peyman Adl Dousti Hagh

  Book Review of “The Memoirs of Nasrollah Tavakoli, The First Chief of Staff of the Iranian Army after the Islamic Revolution,” published b...